I have couple of tips for Relaxed Investors:
1. Remember that Investment if different from
Trading: The successful investment strategy differs markedly from trading.
It is especially important to establish good, long-term positions when prices
are favorable. Most individual investors seriously underperform long-term
results by selling low and buying high. Most successful professionals, of
course, do the opposite.
Even successful years have
significant drawdowns. 15% is not unusual. The investor needs to expect this. If it feels stressful,
then your asset allocation is wrong.
(H/T Jeff Miller)
2.
Realize that
we are no expert on world events: However much ZH or some such blog or
various talking heads on TV explain why the world is going to end soon, world
is not going to end that easily. Investing based on bear talk can be harmful to
the portfolio. World may or may not end tomorrow but investing based on
personal belief is not a good strategy.
One of my favourite strategy is to have patience and remove
the fear of missing out from the mind. I have not been active in the market for
the last few months. During these times, market has gone up and down many times
in the most unpredictable fashion. Nothing and nobody can say with any degree
of certainty which direction the market will move next. Why take the burden of
emotional pain in such a market? So I am looking for what would be a long term
trend and trying to get in slowly for a long haul.
For next week, my 2 penny advice would be the same. Patience and do not chase either way. Monday
we may see some more selling to start with but an eventual bounce. The market
would chop around till end of October. Gold most likely would form a bottom
around 24th-25th October. And thereafter a longer term up
trend (relatively speaking) for equities till mid-November. Let us see how things develop.
Thanks for all your support and kind words. Have a great
Sunday folks.
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